Gianluca Fusai

Università degli Studi del Piemonte Orientale “Amedeo Avogadro” (UPO)- Bayes Business School

Title

Monotonic transformation, implied stock price process and market consistent pricing of calendar spread options

Authors

Gianluca Fusai and Giovanni Longo

Abstract

The paper builds on an idea by Erio Castagnoli and expanded in Fusai [1] to identify a diusion process for the stock price that perfetly aligns with observed option prices at specic maturities. This is achieved by modeling stock returns as a monotonic continuous transformation $g$ of a standard Brownian motion (SBM). With the function g dened, deriving the dynamics of log-returns becomes straightforward using Ito's lemma, an improvement over the approach by Dupire [2]. This paper further develops this framework by demonstrating its full implementation in pricing popular energy products, such as calendar spread options traded at Chicago Mercantile Exchange.